Report Date: 18 May 2015
Where are we in the Cycle?
The cycle remains significantly delayed by historical standards.
Economic indicators are pointing to more downward pressure on global growth
momentum. Statistics from the USA and China are indicating prospectively
lower output growth. European statistics are showing the region only just
maintaining its current expansion pace. More...
Market Directions
The PortfolioDirect sector volatility measure has continued to decline
contributing to a moderate firming in sector equity prices which have,
nonetheless, remained within the confines of a cyclical trough. There are
very few examples of companies being able to display enough strength to
establish sustainably higher price platforms. More typically, short-term
price improvements are being eroded as wariness among existing investors and
insufficient new investor interest take effect.
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Portfolio Performance and Positioning
Slightly higher prices
across all portfolio segments during May have resulted in investment
outcomes in line with the benchmark value. Large Phase I stock price
movements have tended once again to offset one another due to the
unsustainability of gains when they happen. No stocks were added to or
deleted from recommended portfolios which retain a relatively heavy
weighting toward cash.
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Stock Reviews and Rating Analysis
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