Report Date: 25 May 2015
Where are we in the Cycle?
All the commentary this week is about sources of slowing global growth
and the likelihood of a more prolonged cyclical adjustment. This was not by
design but just the bias in the data flow. Scarcer sources of momentum
improvement are showing up in weakening metal usage statistics. More...
Market Directions
Equity prices have continued to hover around or exceed record levels.
The more monetary stimulus the better. Australian resources stock prices
have been performing better than the banks by a healthy double digit margin
so far in 2015 but the impact on the longer term price differential has been
barely discernible.
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Portfolio Performance and Positioning
Strong price gains among the explorers in the recommended Phase I
portfolio showed the strength of bottom of the cycle leverage. Even after
20%+ rises, prices remain anchored near cyclically low points. Several
changes were made to recommended positioning. Among the explorers, Stavely
Minerals was deleted in favour of Elementos. PanAust made way for South32.
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Stock Reviews and Rating Analysis
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