Report Date: 15 February 2016

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Contents

Where are we in the Cycle?
  Despite upbeat economic indicators, U.S. companies are facing a sales recession.  Policies to weaken the yen have had the reverse effect.  Despite all the pessimism about global growth, the strongest global equity market segment so far in February has been basic materials as sector performances converge.   More...

Market Directions
Oversold markets partially recovered at the end of the week but remain at risk of the same combination of uncertainties.  Global growth rates remain insufficient to lift corporate earnings by enough to push equity prices higher.  Gold prices have not broken from their three year downtrend.      More...

Portfolio Performance and Positioning
Stock returns for the PortfolioDirect portfolios largely reflected broader market moves lower.  Declining stocks heavily outweighed the number rising.  There were no additions or deletions and cash positions remain high.   More...

Stock Reviews and Rating Analysis 
The Potash West NL (PWN:AU) GLOSS quality score within the PortfolioDirect rating process has been raised.  The critical change warranting the upgrade for the company developing the Dandaragan phosphate and potash deposits in Western Australia has been the doubling of the anticipated mine life to 40 years for an asset toward the upper end of available operational lives in the sector. The company continues to advance its longer term value proposition. No single event expected in the near term is likely to achieve a discrete change in market price.  This is more likely to come with the longer term accumulation of evidence that the Dandaragan project is viable and capable of being funded.  From a portfolio perspective, there are grounds to recognise the company as an agricultural-oriented investment enabling reduced exposure to mineral commodities relying on GDP growth and enhanced portfolio diversification characteristics in a resources portfolio. .         
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DAILY BRIEFING: The PortfolioDirect market diary offers brief thoughts on current issues affecting sector investment strategies.

Although the statements of fact in this communication have been added from and are based upon sources E.I.M. Capital Managers Pty Ltd, the publisher, believes to be reliable, their accuracy is not guaranteed and any such information may be incomplete or condensed. 

All opinions and estimates in this communication constitute judgments by E.I.M. Capital Managers as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice.  The publisher is under no obligation to make public any change in view about any matter referred to in this or any linked documents.

No references to past investment performance should be taken to indicate anything about future performance.

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