Report Date: 28 March 2016
Where are we in the Cycle?
Paradoxically, investible savings have never been more abundant
and capital has flowed most freely to where sector returns are proving most
inadequate. Companies seeking funding are failing to meet the challenges
thrown up by the structure of the modern capital market. The resulting
gloom is needlessly shrouding the points of light emanating from deserving
projects.
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Market Directions
Equity prices remain tied to oil prices although both appear to have
been uncomfortably stretched. Gold price downside also looms based on
the historically stretched connection with silver prices.
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Portfolio Performance and Positioning
Across the board weakness in sector equity prices last week eroded March
returns with Phase I stocks in the portfolio models giving up most ground.
High cash postions have been retained.
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Stock Reviews and Rating Analysis
Heemskirk Consolidated Limited (HSK:AU), developing a
hydraulic fracturing sands property in western Canada, has been classified
as a Phase II company and rated ‘3+’ on the five point
PortfolioDirect rating scale. The PortfolioDirect
valuation model implies a premium to the current market price of 140%. The
absolute value of the company would increase 76% from completion of the
anticipated second stage, based on the PortfolioDirect
modelling. While market liquidity does not directly impact valuation
considerations, investors should be aware of the difficulty in trading
shares in Heemskirk arising from the low market liquidity of the stock.
Liquidity aside, the company offers an unusual commodity exposure which
would assist investors to improve diversification of a resources portfolio.
For company reports
& ratings...